Effects of COVID-19 Vaccination Timing and Risk Prioritization on Mortality Rates, United States
Xutong Wang, Zhanwei Du, Kaitlyn E. Johnson, Remy Pasco, Spencer J. Fox, Michael Lachmann, Jason S. McLellan, Lauren Ancel Meyers
Abstract
During rollout of coronavirus disease vaccination, policymakers have faced critical trade-offs. Using a mathematical model of transmission, we found that timing of vaccination rollout would be expected to have a substantially greater effect on mortality rate than risk-based prioritization and uptake and that prioritizing first doses over second doses may be lifesaving.
Topics & Concepts
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)2019-20 coronavirus outbreakVaccinationPrioritizationSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)Environmental healthMedicineMortality ratePandemicVirologyDemographyBiologyOutbreakDiseaseBusinessInfectious disease (medical specialty)Internal medicineProcess managementSociologyCOVID-19 and healthcare impactsCOVID-19 epidemiological studiesVaccine Coverage and Hesitancy