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Global analysis of a time fractional order spatio-temporal SIR model

Moulay Rchid Sidi Ammi, Mostafa Tahiri, Mouhcine Tilioua, Anwar Zeb, Ilyas Khan, Mulugeta Andualem

2022Scientific Reports30 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

We deal in this paper with a diffusive SIR epidemic model described by reaction-diffusion equations involving a fractional derivative. The existence and uniqueness of the solution are shown, next to the boundedness of the solution. Further, it has been shown that the global behavior of the solution is governed by the value of [Formula: see text], which is known in epidemiology by the basic reproduction number. Indeed, using the Lyapunov direct method it has been proved that the disease will extinct for [Formula: see text] for any value of the diffusion constants. For [Formula: see text], the disease will persist and the unique positive equilibrium is globally stable. Some numerical illustrations have been used to confirm our theoretical results.

Topics & Concepts

Order (exchange)Computer scienceEconomicsFinanceFractional Differential Equations SolutionsMathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology ModelsNonlinear Differential Equations Analysis