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BERT (Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers) for Missing Data Imputation in Solar Irradiance Time Series

Llinet Benavides César, Miguel Ángel Manso Callejo, Calimanut-Ionut Cira

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Abstract

The availability of solar irradiance time series without missing data is an ideal scenario for researchers in the field. However, it is not achievable for a variety of reasons, such as measurement errors, sampling gaps, or other factors. Time series imputation methods can be a solution to the lack of data and, in this paper, we study the applicability of Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT) as an irradiance time series imputation solution. In this regard, a BERT model was trained from scratch for the masked language modelling (MLM) task, and the quality of the imputation was evaluated according to the number of missing values and the position within the series. The experiments were conducted over a dataset of 165 stations, captured by meteorological stations distributed over the Spanish regions of Galicia, Castile, and León. In the evaluation process, an average coefficient of determination (R2 score) of 0.89% was obtained, the maximum result being 0.95%.

Topics & Concepts

Imputation (statistics)Missing dataComputer scienceSolar irradianceTransformerIrradianceEncoderTime seriesData miningMachine learningMeteorologyEngineeringGeographyElectrical engineeringVoltageOperating systemQuantum mechanicsPhysicsSolar Radiation and PhotovoltaicsEnergy Load and Power ForecastingAir Quality Monitoring and Forecasting
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