Initial coin offerings and their initial returns
Hui-Ching Hsieh, Jonas Oppermann
Abstract
We empirically examine the initial returns of Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) and show that ICO underpricing is enormous, which implies that cryptocurrency markets are inefficient. Moreover, we find that having a short offering phase, not holding a presale, a precisely written whitepaper, and the creation of an independent blockchain all have a positive impact on ICOs’ initial returns. Our results also suggest that the driving factor behind initial returns is the movement of the cryptocurrency markets, measured by both Bitcoin and Ethereum returns. In addition, whether or not the jurisdiction has cryptocurrency regulations is an influential indicator. ICOs that belong to the high-tech services and platform industries have higher initial returns. Conventional financial assets, such as the stock market and gold, have a positive influence on ICOs’ initial returns.