Global burden of cardiovascular diseases attributable to diet low in vegetables from 1990 to 2021 and forecasting the future trends: a population-based study
Qingsong Mao, Yuzhe Kong
Abstract
Background: This investigation examines the worldwide impact of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) resulting from inadequate vegetable consumption, based on the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study data. Method: The study assessed the global, regional, and national repercussions of low vegetable intake on CVD, with a focus on variations among different age and gender demographics. It further analyzed the correlation between disease burden and the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI), and employed an ARIMA model to predict future trends in CVD associated with insufficient vegetable consumption up to 2050. Result: In 2021, a diet lacking in vegetables was responsible for roughly 682,400 deaths and 16 million disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributed to CVD, indicating a declining pattern over recent year. Individuals aged 75 and older were predominantly affected. Future projections indicate an expected rise in CVD incidence in lower-middle SDI regions, with African nations potentially experiencing increased challenges related to low vegetable consumption by 2030 and 2050. Conclusion: The findings underscore the critical necessity for preventive measures against CVD and emphasize the significance of improving dietary habits, particularly vegetable intake.