Heavy rains and hydrogeological disasters on February 18th–19th, 2023, in the city of São Sebastião, São Paulo, Brazil: from meteorological causes to early warnings

José A. Marengo, Ana Paula Martins do Amaral Cunha, Marcelo E. Seluchi, Pedro Ivo Mioni Camarinha, Giovanni Dolif, Vinicius B. Sperling, Enner Alcântara, Andrea M. Ramos, Marcio Andrade, Rodrigo Augusto Stabile, José Roberto Mantovani, Edward Park, Regina Célia dos Santos Alvalá, Osvaldo L. L. Moraes, Carlos A. Nobre, Demerval Aparecido Gonçalves