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Deep Learning-Based Bitcoin Price Forecasting Using Neural Prophet

Teuku Rizky Noviandy, Aga Maulana, Ghazi Mauer Idroes, Rivansyah Suhendra, Muhammad Adam, Asep Rusyana, Hizir Sofyan

2023Ekonomikalia Journal of Economics28 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

This study focuses on using the Neural Prophet framework to forecast Bitcoin prices accurately. By analyzing historical Bitcoin price data, the study aims to capture patterns and dependencies to provide valuable insights and predictive models for investors, traders, and analysts in the volatile cryptocurrency market. The Neural Prophet framework, based on neural network principles, incorporates features such as automatic differencing, trend, seasonality considerations, and external variables to enhance forecasting accuracy. The model was trained and evaluated using performance metrics such as RMSE, MAE, and MAPE. The results demonstrate the model's effectiveness in capturing trends and predicting Bitcoin prices while acknowledging the challenges posed by the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market.

Topics & Concepts

CryptocurrencyArtificial neural networkVolatility (finance)EconometricsComputer scienceArtificial intelligenceMachine learningEconomicsComputer securityBlockchain Technology Applications and SecurityStock Market Forecasting MethodsCurrency Recognition and Detection
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