Event-specific interventions to minimize COVID-19 transmission
Paul Tupper, Himani Boury, Madi Yerlanov, Caroline Colijn
Abstract
Significance We provide a simple model of COVID-19 transmission at workplaces, events, and other settings. We use data from reported single-event, short-duration outbreaks to estimate the transmission rate, number of contacts, and turnover at events. We use these to predict how many new infections are expected to occur at various events given the presence of a single infectious individual. We then determine which types of interventions will be the most effective in reducing the number of infections: reducing transmission rates (such as with masks), social distancing (reducing the number of people in contact), or bubbling (keeping contact groups small and consistent).
Topics & Concepts
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Transmission (telecommunications)OutbreakSocial distancePsychological interventionSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)Event (particle physics)2019-20 coronavirus outbreakDuration (music)Computer scienceStatisticsEconometricsMedicineVirologyInfectious disease (medical specialty)MathematicsTelecommunicationsDiseasePhysicsAcousticsPsychiatryPathologyQuantum mechanicsCOVID-19 epidemiological studiesCOVID-19 and Mental HealthCOVID-19 Pandemic Impacts