Ecosystem synchrony: an emerging property to elucidate ecosystem responses to global change
Chloé Vagnon, Julian D. Olden, Stéphanie Boulêtreau, Rosalie Bruel, Mathieu Chevalier, Flavien Garcia, Gordon W. Holtgrieve, Michelle C. Jackson, Élisa Thébault, Pablo A. Tedesco, Julien Cucherousset
Abstract
Understanding ecosystem responses to global change have long challenged scientists due to notoriously complex properties arising from the interplay between biological and environmental factors. We propose the concept of ecosystem synchrony - that is, similarity in the temporal fluctuations of an ecosystem function between multiple ecosystems - to overcome this challenge. Ecosystem synchrony can manifest due to spatially correlated environmental fluctuations (Moran effect), exchange of energy, nutrients, and organic matter and similarity in biotic characteristics across ecosystems. By taking advantage of long-term surveys, remote sensing and the increased use of high-frequency sensors to assess ecosystem functions, ecosystem synchrony can foster our understanding of the coordinated ecosystem responses at unexplored spatiotemporal scales, identify emerging portfolio effects among ecosystems, and deliver signals of ecosystem perturbations.