A deep learning digital biomarker to detect hypertension and stratify cardiovascular risk from the electrocardiogram
Mostafa A. Al‐Alusi, Sam Friedman, Shinwan Kany, Joel Rämö, Daniel Pipilas, Pulkit Singh, Christopher Reeder, Shaan Khurshid, James P. Pirruccello, Mahnaz Maddah, Jennifer E. Ho, Patrick T. Ellinor
Abstract
Hypertension is a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD), yet blood pressure is measured intermittently and under suboptimal conditions. We developed a deep learning model to identify hypertension and stratify risk of CVD using 12-lead electrocardiogram waveforms. HTN-AI was trained to detect hypertension using 752,415 electrocardiograms from 103,405 adults at Massachusetts General Hospital. We externally validated HTN-AI and demonstrated associations between HTN-AI risk and incident CVD in 56,760 adults at Brigham and Women's Hospital. HTN-AI accurately discriminated hypertension (internal and external validation AUROC 0.803 and 0.771, respectively). In Fine-Gray regression analyses model-predicted probability of hypertension was associated with mortality (hazard ratio per standard deviation: 1.47 [1.36-1.60], p < 0.001), HF (2.26 [1.90-2.69], p < 0.001), MI (1.87 [1.69-2.07], p < 0.001), stroke (1.30 [1.18-1.44], p < 0.001), and aortic dissection or rupture (1.69 [1.22-2.35], p < 0.001) after adjustment for demographics and risk factors. HTN-AI may facilitate diagnosis of hypertension and serve as a digital biomarker of hypertension-associated CVD.