An Agent-Based Covid-19 Simulator: Extending Covasim to the Polish Context
Rafał Latkowski, Barbara Dunin‐Kȩplicz
Abstract
Governments all over the world make their best to fight with Covid-19 pandemic as effectively as possible. Therefore, we observed a growing need of trustworthy data-intensive systems supporting administration in validating their policy decisions. ProMES, the Covasim-based multiagent pandemic simulator, may serve as such a system, adjusted to the specificity of living, working and social conditions in Poland. The main role of ProMES is to evaluate and compare strategies for reducing Covid-19 transmissions. The strategies include time- and region-dependent combinations of nonpharmaceutical coronavirus-related individual and state interventions, tests and vaccinations. Ultimately, ProMES is meant to serve as a part of data/knowledge intensive decision support system, enhancing administrative reactivity as well as pro-activity in preventing the spread of the coronavirus. This paper reports a work in progress.