Estimates of Serial Interval and Reproduction Number of Sudan Virus, Uganda, August–November 2022
Valentina Marziano, Giorgio Guzzetta, Ira M. Longini, Stefano Merler
Abstract
We estimated the mean serial interval for Sudan virus in Uganda to be 11.7 days (95 CI% 8.2-15.8 days). Estimates for the 2022 outbreak indicate a mean basic reproduction number of 2.4-2.7 (95% CI 1.7-3.5). Estimated net reproduction numbers across districts suggest a marked spatial heterogeneity.
Topics & Concepts
ReproductionBasic reproduction numberOutbreakDemographyBiologyVeterinary medicineGeographyVirologyMedicinePopulationEcologySociologyCOVID-19 epidemiological studiesViral Infections and VectorsViral Infections and Outbreaks Research