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Drying in the low-latitude Atlantic Ocean contributed to terrestrial water storage depletion across Eurasia

Zexi Shen, Qiang Zhang, Vijay P. Singh, Yadu Pokhrel, Jianping Li, Chong‐Yu Xu, Wenhuan Wu

2022Nature Communications49 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

Eurasia, home to ~70% of global population, is characterized by (semi-)arid climate. Water scarcity in the mid-latitude Eurasia (MLE) has been exacerbated by a consistent decline in terrestrial water storage (TWS), attributed primarily to human activities. However, the atmospheric mechanisms behind such TWS decline remain unclear. Here, we investigate teleconnections between drying in low-latitude North Atlantic Ocean (LNATO) and TWS depletions across MLE. We elucidate mechanistic linkages and detecte high correlations between decreased TWS in MLE and the decreased precipitation-minus-evapotranspiration (PME) in LNATO. TWS in MLE declines by ~257% during 2003-2017 due to northeastward propagation of PME deficit following two distinct seasonal landfalling routes during January-May and June-January. The same mechanism reduces TWS during 2031-2050 by ~107% and ~447% under scenarios SSP245 and SSP585, respectively. Our findings highlight the risk of increased future water scarcity across MLE caused by large-scale climatic drivers, compounding the impacts of human activities.

Topics & Concepts

TeleconnectionEnvironmental scienceLatitudeClimatologyPrecipitationWater scarcityClimate changePopulationAridOceanographyWater resourcesAtmospheric sciencesGeographyEcologyBiologyMeteorologyGeologyDemographyGeodesySociologyClimate variability and modelsOceanographic and Atmospheric ProcessesGeophysics and Gravity Measurements