Flexibility provision in the Swiss integrated power, hydrogen, and methane infrastructure
Behnam Akbari, Jared Garrison, Elena Raycheva, Giovanni Sansavini
Abstract
The renewable energy transition hinges on balancing energy supply and demand across seasons. This paper investigates the potential flexibility of Switzerland’s integrated power, hydrogen, and methane infrastructure to balance temporal mismatches while complying with national energy policies for sustainability and security. It develops an optimization method for energy system expansion and operation planning, filling crucial research gaps by (1) explicitly modeling power and gas transmission networks to guide technology placement and pinpoint network expansions, and (2) incorporating flexibility in power demand via shedding and shifting and in hydrogen and methane demands via price elasticity. The findings suggest that a 6.7-fold capacity expansion of variable renewables (i.e., photovoltaic, wind, run-of-river) by 2050 offsets nuclear phase-out and demand growth. The winter power gap is filled by power imports, hydropower generation, and gas turbines fueled by cost-effective hydrogen or methane imports. However, fuel embargoes escalate winter hydrogen and methane prices, reducing demand by 3.8%–10.4% and increasing domestic fuel production from biomass and excess renewable power in summer. To bridge the seasonal hydrogen and methane supply–demand gaps, up to 1.9 terawatt-hours of gas cavern storage is deployed in geologically viable locations, while costly tank storage plays a minor role. Power-to-gas requirements and power trade restrictions necessitate further renewable expansion, including 8.0 to 9.5 gigawatts of wind installations. • Energy system optimization with energy networks and demand flexibility modeling. • Flexibility analysis of Switzerland’s carbon-neutral sector-coupled energy system. • Energy trade is crucial to seasonal balancing of renewable generation and energy demand. • Hydrogen and methane embargoes raise prices by 28%–76% and lower demands by 6%–10%. • Hydrogen and methane storage serve respective demands in winter, not power generation.