Climate risk assessment needs urgent improvement
Alberto Arribas, Ross Fairgrieve, Trevor Dhu, Juliet Bell, Rosalind Cornforth, Geoff J. Gooley, Chris Hilson, Amy Luers, Theodore G. Shepherd, Roger Street, Nick Wood
Abstract
Existing constraints in current climate risk assessments make them inappropriate to effectively assess the true exposure of society and businesses to climate-related risk. Using the key constraints to guide a conceptual framework, we identify four cross-cutting and inter-related critical paths for improvement. Climate risk assessments are a key tool in planning for climate change impacts. This commentary examines the current underlying problems with them and puts forward a framework to provide solutions to improve their effectiveness.
Topics & Concepts
Climate changeKey (lock)Risk assessmentRisk analysis (engineering)Environmental resource managementEnvironmental planningComputer scienceConceptual frameworkBusinessEnvironmental scienceEcologyComputer securityPhilosophyEpistemologyBiologyClimate change impacts on agricultureAgricultural risk and resilienceClimate Change Policy and Economics