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Bootstrap Methods for Statistical Inference. Part II: Extreme-Value Analysis

Eric Gilleland

2020Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology38 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

Abstract This paper is the sequel to a companion paper on bootstrap resampling that reviews bootstrap methodology for making statistical inferences for atmospheric science applications where the necessary assumptions are often not met for the most commonly used resampling procedures. In particular, this sequel addresses extreme-value analysis applications with discussion on the challenges for finding accurate bootstrap methods in this context. New bootstrap code from the R packages “distillery” and “extRemes” is introduced. It is further found that one approach for accurate confidence intervals in this setting is not well suited to the case when the random sample’s distribution is not stationary.

Topics & Concepts

ResamplingExtreme value theoryComputer scienceStatistical inferenceInferenceSampling distributionContext (archaeology)Bootstrap aggregatingConfidence intervalStatisticsEconometricsMathematicsMachine learningArtificial intelligenceGeographyArchaeologyClimate variability and modelsMeteorological Phenomena and SimulationsHydrology and Drought Analysis