Spatial cluster mapping and environmental modeling in pediatric inflammatory bowel disease
Mielle Michaux, Justin M. Chan, Luke Bergmann, Luis Fernando Chaves, Brian Klinkenberg, Kevan Jacobson
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Geographical (geospatial) clusters have been observed in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) incidence and linked to environmental determinants of disease, but pediatric spatial patterns in North America are unknown. We hypothesized that we would identify geospatial clusters in the pediatric IBD (PIBD) population of British Columbia (BC), Canada and associate incidence with ethnicity and environmental exposures. AIM: To identify PIBD clusters and model how spatial patterns are associated with population ethnicity and environmental exposures. METHODS: One thousand one hundred eighty-three patients were included from a BC Children's Hospital clinical registry who met the criteria of diagnosis with IBD ≤ age 16.9 from 2001-2016 with a valid postal code on file. A spatial cluster detection routine was used to identify areas with similar incidence. An ecological analysis employed Poisson rate models of IBD, Crohn's disease (CD), and ulcerative colitis (UC) cases as functions of areal population ethnicity, rurality, average family size and income, average population exposure to green space, air pollution, and vitamin-D weighted ultraviolet light from the Canadian Environmental Health Research Consortium, and pesticide applications. RESULTS: < 0.001) a risk factor as previously established. CONCLUSION: air pollution needs further study to validate these observations.