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Usage of statistical modeling techniques in surface and groundwater level prediction

Klemen Kenda, J. Peternelj, Νικόλαος Μέλλιος, Dimitris Kofinas, Matej Čerin, Jože M. Rožanec

2020Journal of Water Supply Research and Technology—AQUA25 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

Abstract The paper presents a thorough evaluation of the performance of different statistical modeling techniques in ground- and surface-level prediction scenarios as well as some aspects of the application of data-driven modeling in practice (feature generation, feature selection, heterogeneous data fusion, hyperparameter tuning, and model evaluation). Twenty-one different regression and classification techniques were tested. The results reveal that batch regression techniques are superior to incremental techniques in terms of accuracy and that among them gradient boosting, random forest and linear regression perform best. On the other hand, introduced incremental models are cheaper to build and update and could still yield good enough results for certain large-scale applications.

Topics & Concepts

HyperparameterComputer scienceRandom forestFeature selectionGradient boostingRegressionData miningMachine learningArtificial intelligenceBoosting (machine learning)Feature (linguistics)Regression analysisScale (ratio)Linear regressionStatisticsMathematicsQuantum mechanicsLinguisticsPhysicsPhilosophyHydrological Forecasting Using AIHydrology and Watershed Management StudiesGroundwater flow and contamination studies
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