18F-FDG PET/CT Radiomics for Preoperative Prediction of Lymph Node Metastases and Nodal Staging in Gastric Cancer
Qiufang Liu, Jiaru Li, Bowen Xin, Yuyun Sun, Dagan Feng, Michael Fulham, Xiuying Wang, Shaoli Song
Abstract
Objectives The accurate assessment of lymph node metastases (LNMs) and the preoperative nodal (N) stage are critical for the precise treatment of patients with gastric cancer (GC). The diagnostic performance, however, of current imaging procedures used for this assessment is sub-optimal. Our aim was to investigate the value of preoperative 18 F-FDG PET/CT radiomic features to predict LNMs and the N stage. Methods We retrospectively collected clinical and 18 F-FDG PET/CT imaging data of 185 patients with GC who underwent total or partial radical gastrectomy. Patients were allocated to training and validation sets using the stratified method at a fixed ratio (8:2). There were 2,100 radiomic features extracted from the 18 F-FDG PET/CT scans. After selecting radiomic features by the random forest, relevancy-based, and sequential forward selection methods, the BalancedBagging ensemble classifier was established for the preoperative prediction of LNMs, and the OneVsRest classifier for the N stage. The performance of the models was primarily evaluated by the AUC and accuracy, and validated by the independent validation methods. Analysis of the feature importance and the correlation were also conducted. We also compared the predictive performance of our radiomic models to that with the contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) and 18 F-FDG PET/CT. Results There were 185 patients—127 men, 58 women, with the median age of 62, and an age range of 22–86 years. One CT feature and one PET feature were selected to predict LNMs and achieved the best performance (AUC: 82.2%, accuracy: 85.2%). This radiomic model also detected some LNMs that were missed in CECT (19.6%) and 18 F-FDG PET/CT (35.7%). For predicting the N stage, four CT features and one PET feature were selected (AUC: 73.7%, accuracy: 62.3%). Of note, a proportion of patients in the validation set whose LNMs were incorrectly staged by CECT (57.4%) and 18 F-FDG PET/CT (55%) were diagnosed correctly by our radiomic model. Conclusion We developed and validated two machine learning models based on the preoperative 18 F-FDG PET/CT images that have a predictive value for LNMs and the N stage in GC. These predictive models show a promise to offer a potentially useful adjunct to current staging approaches for patients with GC.