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HESS Opinions: Never train an LSTM on a single basin

Frederik Kratzert, Martin Gauch, Daniel Klotz, Grey Nearing

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Abstract

Abstract. Machine learning (ML) has played an increasing role in the hydrological sciences. In particular, certain types of time series modeling strategies are popular for rainfall–runoff modeling. A large majority of studies that use this type of model do not follow best practices, and there is one mistake in particular that is common: training deep learning models on small, homogeneous data sets (i.e., data from one or a small number of watersheds). In this position paper, we show that Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) streamflow models are best when trained with a large amount of hydrologically diverse data.

Topics & Concepts

MistakeLong short term memoryComputer scienceHomogeneousStreamflowSurface runoffArtificial intelligencePosition (finance)Machine learningDrainage basinGeographyCartographyArtificial neural networkMathematicsRecurrent neural networkEcologyCombinatoricsLawPolitical scienceBiologyEconomicsFinanceHydrology and Watershed Management StudiesHydrological Forecasting Using AIFlood Risk Assessment and Management