Artificial intelligence in early warning systems for infectious disease surveillance: a systematic review
Ismael Villanueva-Miranda, Guanghua Xiao, Yang Xie
Abstract
Introduction: Infectious diseases pose a significant global health threat, exacerbated by factors like globalization and climate change. Artificial intelligence (AI) offers promising tools to enhance crucial early warning systems (EWS) for disease surveillance. This systematic review evaluates the current landscape of AI applications in EWS, identifying key techniques, data sources, benefits, and challenges. Methods: Following PRISMA guidelines, a systematic search of Semantic Scholar (2018-onward) was conducted. After screening 600 records and removing duplicates and non-relevant articles, the search yielded 67 relevant studies for review. Results: Key findings reveal the prevalent use of machine learning (ML), deep learning (DL), and natural language processing (NLP), which often integrate diverse data sources (e.g., epidemiological, web, climate, wastewater). The major benefits identified include earlier outbreak detection and improved prediction accuracy. However, significant challenges persist regarding data quality and bias, model transparency (the "black box" issue), system integration difficulties, and ethical considerations such as privacy and equity. Discussion: AI demonstrates considerable potential to strengthen infectious disease EWS. Realizing this potential, however, requires concerted efforts to address data limitations, enhance model explainability, ensure ethical implementation, improve infrastructure, and foster collaboration between AI developers and public health experts.