Increased Risk of New-Onset Asthma After COVID-19: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study
Bo‐Guen Kim, Hyun Lee, Sang Woo Yeom, Cho Yun Jeong, Dong Won Park, Tai Sun Park, Ji‐Yong Moon, Tae‐Hyung Kim, Jang Won Sohn, Ho Joo Yoon, Jong Seung Kim, Sang‐Heon Kim
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Previous studies have suggested that respiratory virus infections may be associated with new-onset asthma. However, whether coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is associated with an increased risk of new-onset asthma remains unclear. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to evaluate whether recent COVID-19 increases the risk of new-onset asthma and whether COVID-19 vaccination could mitigate this risk. METHODS: We constructed 3 different study designs using the Korean National Health Insurance claim-based database: study 1: COVID-19-diagnosed subjects (COVID-19 cohort) and their matched controls; study 2: COVID-19-vaccinated subjects (vaccination cohort) and their matched controls; and study 3: vaccination cohort and their matched controls, excluding subjects diagnosed with COVID-19. RESULTS: In study 1, 1.6% of the COVID-19 cohort and 0.7% of the matched cohort developed new-onset asthma, with incidences of 31.28 and 14.55 per 1,000 person-years, respectively (P < .001). The COVID-19 cohort had a higher risk of new-onset asthma (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.14; 95% CI 1.88-2.45) than matched controls. In study 2, the vaccination cohort had a lower risk of new-onset asthma than the matched controls (aHR 0.82; 95% CI 0.76-0.89). However, among subjects without a COVID-19 diagnosis, COVID-19 vaccination was not associated with a reduced risk of new-onset asthma in study 3 (aHR 0.95; 95% CI 0.87-1.04). In subgroup analysis, the risk of new-onset asthma was significantly lower in fully vaccinated subjects and higher in older subjects and in those with diabetes mellitus than in their counterparts. CONCLUSIONS: The COVID-19 was associated with a higher incidence of new-onset asthma, which might be preventable by COVID-19 vaccination.