Added prognostic value of 3D deep learning-derived features from preoperative MRI for adult-type diffuse gliomas
Jung Oh Lee, Sung Soo Ahn, Kyu Sung Choi, Junhyeok Lee, Joon Hwan Jang, Jung Hyun Park, Inpyeong Hwang, Chul‐Kee Park, Sung‐Hye Park, Jin Wook Chung, Seung Hong Choi
Abstract
BACKGROUND: To investigate the prognostic value of spatial features from whole-brain MRI using a three-dimensional (3D) convolutional neural network for adult-type diffuse gliomas. METHODS: In a retrospective, multicenter study, 1925 diffuse glioma patients were enrolled from 5 datasets: SNUH (n = 708), UPenn (n = 425), UCSF (n = 500), TCGA (n = 160), and Severance (n = 132). The SNUH and Severance datasets served as external test sets. Precontrast and postcontrast 3D T1-weighted, T2-weighted, and T2-FLAIR images were processed as multichannel 3D images. A 3D-adapted SE-ResNeXt model was trained to predict overall survival. The prognostic value of the deep learning-based prognostic index (DPI), a spatial feature-derived quantitative score, and established prognostic markers were evaluated using Cox regression. Model evaluation was performed using the concordance index (C-index) and Brier score. RESULTS: The MRI-only median DPI survival prediction model achieved C-indices of 0.709 and 0.677 (BS = 0.142 and 0.215) and survival differences (P < 0.001 and P = 0.002; log-rank test) for the SNUH and Severance datasets, respectively. Multivariate Cox analysis revealed DPI as a significant prognostic factor, independent of clinical and molecular genetic variables: hazard ratio = 0.032 and 0.036 (P < 0.001 and P = 0.004) for the SNUH and Severance datasets, respectively. Multimodal prediction models achieved higher C-indices than models using only clinical and molecular genetic variables: 0.783 vs. 0.774, P = 0.001, SNUH; 0.766 vs. 0.748, P = 0.023, Severance. CONCLUSIONS: The global morphologic feature derived from 3D CNN models using whole-brain MRI has independent prognostic value for diffuse gliomas. Combining clinical, molecular genetic, and imaging data yields the best performance.