Cost-effectiveness analysis of nivolumab plus ipilimumab <i>versus</i> chemotherapy as the first-line treatment for unresectable malignant pleural mesothelioma
Liu Yang, Xueqiong Cao, Na Li, Bin Zheng, Maobai Liu, Hongfu Cai
Abstract
Introduction: pemetrexed plus cisplatin/carboplatin (C) as the first-line treatment for unresectable malignant pleural mesothelioma (MPM) from the perspective of US payers. Methods: A 10-year partitioned survival model was constructed using survival and safety data from the CheckMate 743 clinical trial. The output metrics of the model included the patient's lifetime quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), lifetime costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Only direct medical costs were considered. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the robustness of the results. Results: Among all randomized patients, group NI had an ICER of $475,677/QALY relative to group C. Among patients with epithelioid histology, group NI had an ICER of $760,955/QALY. Among patients with non-epithelioid histology, group NI had an ICER of $418,348/QALY. The ICERs of all three populations exceeded the willingness-to-pay threshold ($150,000). The results of one-way sensitivity analysis revealed that the cost of nivolumab had a great influence on the results. The results of probabilistic sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the possibility of NI being more economical in all randomized patients and in patients with non-epidemiology histology was 0. In patients with epithelioid histology, the probability that NI had an economic advantage was 0.6%. Conclusions: From the perspective of US payers, in patients with unresectable MPM, NI has no economic advantage over C.