COVID-19 in Italy: impact of containment measures and prevalence estimates of infection in the general population.
Carlo Signorelli, Thea Scognamiglio, Anna Odone
Abstract
Since the beginning of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy, the Italian Government implemented several restrictive measures to contain the spread of the infection. Data shows that, among these measures, the lockdown implemented as of 9 March had a positive impact, in particular the central and southern regions of Italy, while other actions appeared to be less effective. When the true prevalence of a disease is unknown, it is possible estimate it, based on mortality data and the assumptive case-fatality rate of the disease. Given these assumptions, the estimated period-prevalence of COVID-19 in Italy varies from 0.35% in Sicity to 13.3% in Lombardy.
Topics & Concepts
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Case fatality rateDemographyPopulation2019-20 coronavirus outbreakSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)GeographyDiseaseOutbreakMedicineEnvironmental healthInfectious disease (medical specialty)VirologySociologyPathologyCOVID-19 epidemiological studiesData-Driven Disease SurveillanceCOVID-19 Clinical Research Studies