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Predicting mortality in acute ischaemic stroke treated with mechanical thrombectomy: analysis of a multicentre prospective registry

Hao Li, Shisheng Ye, Yuanling Wu, Shengming Huang, Yongxin Li, Kui Lu, Jingbo Huang, Lve Chen, Hong-Zhuang Li, Wenjun Wu, Zhilin Wu, Jian-Zhou Wu, Wangtao Zhong, Wenchuan Xian, Feng Liao, Tao‐Hsin Tung, Qiaoling Wu, Hai Chen, Yuan Li, Zhi Yang, Lian Huang

2021BMJ Open19 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to determine predictors of mortality within 90 days and develop a simple score for patients with mechanical thrombectomy (MT). DESIGN: Analysis of a multicentre prospective registry. SETTING: In six participating centres, patients who had an acute ischaemic stroke (AIS) treated by MT between March 2017 and May 2018 were documented prospectively. PARTICIPANTS: 224 patients with AIS were treated by MT. RESULTS: Of 224 patients, 49 (21.9%) patients died, and 87 (38.8%) were independent. Variables associated with 90-day mortality were age, previous stroke, admission National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), fasting blood glucose and occlusion site. Logistic regression identified four variables independently associated with 90-day mortality: age ≥80 years (OR 3.26, 95% CI 1.45 to 7.33), previous stroke (OR 2.33, 95% CI 1.04 to 5.21), admission NIHSS ≥18 (OR 2.37, 95% CI 1.13 to 4.99) and internal carotid artery or basilar artery occlusion (OR 2.92, 95% CI 1.34 to 6.40). Using these data, we developed predicting 90-day mortality of AIS with MT (PRACTICE) score ranging from 0 to 6 points. The receiver operator curve analysis found that PRACTICE score (area under the curve (AUC)=0.744, 95% CI 0.669 to 0.820) was numerically better than iScore (AUC=0.661, 95% CI 0.577 to 0.745) and Predicting Early Mortality of Ischemic Stroke score (AUC=0.638, 95% CI 0.551 to 0.725) for predicting 90-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a simple score to estimate the 90-day mortality of patients who had an AIS treated with MT. But the score needs to be prospectively validated. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (ChiCTR-OOC-17013052).

Topics & Concepts

MedicineStroke (engine)Receiver operating characteristicLogistic regressionInternal medicineArea under the curveProspective cohort studyIschaemic strokeSurgeryCardiologyAtrial fibrillationMechanical engineeringEngineeringAcute Ischemic Stroke ManagementStroke Rehabilitation and RecoveryIntracerebral and Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Research
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