Multifocality and Progression of Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma During Active Surveillance
Ryuta Nagaoka, Aya Ebina, Kazuhisa Toda, Tomoo Jikuzono, Marie Saitou, Masaomi Sen, Hiroko Kazusaka, Mami Matsui, Keiko Yamada, Hiroki Mitani, Iwao Sugitani
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Prospective trials of active surveillance (AS) have shown low rates of progression in low-risk papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC; T1aN0M0). However, the significance of multifocality as a prognostic factor remains controversial. METHODS: Data from 571 patients (mean age, 53.1 years; 495 females) who underwent AS were reviewed. PTMC was unifocal in 457 patients (80.0%) and multifocal in 114 patients (20.0%), with 2-5 lesions each (261 tumors in total). Tumor progression was defined as tumor size enlargement ≥ 3 mm and/or development of clinically evident lymph node metastasis (LNM). RESULTS: After a mean duration of AS of 7.6 years, 53 patients (9.3%) showed tumor enlargement and 8 patients (1.4%) developed LNM. The 10-year progression rate was 13.1%. Age, sex, and calcification pattern did not differ significantly between uni- and multifocal diseases. However, anti-thyroglobulin antibody and/or anti-thyroid peroxidase antibody was more frequently positive with multifocal PTMCs (46.7%) than with unifocal disease (34.4%, p = 0.024). Patients with uni- and multifocal disease showed no significant differences in 10-year rate of tumor enlargement (11.4% vs. 14.8%), LNM development (1.1% vs. 2.4%), or progression (12.4% vs 15.9%). Multivariate analysis of predictors for progression showed multifocality was not a significant risk factor (odds ratio, 1.45; 95% confidence interval, 0.79-2.54; p = 0.22). Eventually, 9 patients (7.9%) with multifocal PTMCs underwent surgery and 7 needed total thyroidectomy, although 7 still showed T1N0M0 low-risk cancer. CONCLUSIONS: Even patients with multiple PTMCs (T1amN0M0) are good candidates for AS. Many patients can avoid total thyroidectomy and subsequent surgical complications.