Plasma neurofilament light chain predicts Alzheimer's disease in patients with subjective cognitive decline and mild cognitive impairment: A cross‐sectional and longitudinal study
Salvatore Mazzeo, Assunta Ingannato, Giulia Giacomucci, Alberto Manganelli, Valentina Moschini, Juri Balestrini, Arianna Cavaliere, Carmen Morinelli, Giulia Galdo, Filippo Emiliani, Diletta Piazzesi, Chiara Crucitti, Daniele Frigerio, Cristina Polito, Valentina Berti, Silvia Bagnoli, Sonia Padiglioni, Sandro Sorbi, Benedetta Nacmias, Valentina Bessi
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: We aimed to evaluate the accuracy of plasma neurofilament light chain (NfL) in predicting Alzheimer's disease (AD) and the progression of cognitive decline in patients with subjective cognitive decline (SCD) and mild cognitive impairment (MCI). METHODS: F-fluorodeoxyglucose-PET) at baseline. The patients were rated according to the amyloid/tau/neurodegeneration (A/T/N) system and followed up for a mean time of 2.72 ± 0.95 years to detect progression from SCD to MCI and from MCI to AD. Forty-eight patients (19 SCD, 29 MCI) also underwent plasma NfL measurements 2 years after baseline. RESULTS: At baseline, plasma NfL detected patients with biomarker profiles consistent with AD (A+/T+/N+ or A+/T+/N-) with high accuracy (area under the curve [AUC] 0.82). We identified cut-off values of 19.45 pg/mL for SCD and 20.45 pg/mL for MCI. During follow-up, nine SCD patients progressed to MCI (progressive SCD [p-SCD]), and 14 MCI patients developed AD dementia (progressive MCI [p-MCI]). The previously identified cut-off values provided good accuracy in identifying p-SCD (80% [95% confidence interval 65.69: 94.31]). The rate of NfL change was higher in p-MCI (3.52 ± 4.06 pg/mL) compared to non-progressive SCD (0.81 ± 1.25 pg/mL) and non-progressive MCI (-0.13 ± 3.24 pg/mL) patients. A rate of change lower than 1.64 pg/mL per year accurately excluded progression from MCI to AD (AUC 0.954). CONCLUSION: Plasma NfL concentration and change over time may be a reliable, non-invasive tool to detect AD and the progression of cognitive decline at the earliest stages of the disease.