Multi-Objective Optimization of a Microgrid Considering the Uncertainty of Supply and Demand
Shiping Geng, Gengqi Wu, Caixia Tan, Dongxiao Niu, Xiaopeng Guo
Abstract
Starting from the perspective of the uncertainty of supply and demand, using the Copula function and fuzzy numbers a scenario generation method, considering the uncertainty of scenery, and a random fuzzy model of energy demand uncertainty are proposed. Then, through the energy flow direction and the energy supply, production, conversion, storage, and demand, a multi-objective model considering the economic and environmental protection of a park is constructed. Here, the park refers to a microgrid that gathers distributed energy such as wind and photovoltaics and has requirements for cooling, heat, and electricity at the same time. Next, combining the constraints of each link, the particle swarm algorithm is used to solve the model. Finally, an example is analyzed in a certain park. The results of the example show that, on the one hand, the proposed scenario generation method and fuzzy number method can reduce the uncertainty of supply and demand, effectively fitting the wind and photovoltaic output and various energy demands. On the other hand, considering the economy and environmental protection of the park at the same time, the configuration of energy storage equipment can not only improve the economy of the park, but also promote the consumption of renewable energy.