Prognostic value of intrinsic subtypes in hormone-receptor-positive metastatic breast cancer: systematic review and meta-analysis
Francesco Schettini, Olga Martínez‐Sáez, Claudette Falato, Irene De Santo, Benedetta Conte, Isabel García-Fructuoso, R. Gomez-Bravo, Elia Seguí, Núria Chic, Fara Brasó‐Maristany, Laia Paré, María Vidal, Bárbara Adamo, Montserrat Muñoz-Mateu, Tomás Pascual, Eva Ciruelos, Charles M. Perou, Lisa A. Carey, Aleix Prat
Abstract
•Intrinsic subtypes (IS) are established prognostic biomarkers only in localized HoR+/HER2-negative BC.•We reviewed the literature and meta-analyzed all phase II/III trials in HoR+ MBC with data on IS and prognosis.•Non-LumA disease showed association with poorer PFS and OS than LumA.•Each non-LumA type showed differential prognosis compared to the others, with significant subgroup difference.•Results were independent of HER2, treatment and menopausal status, with sensitivity analyses supporting the main result. BackgroundIn hormone receptor-positive (HoR+) breast cancer (BC), gene expression analysis identifies luminal A (LumA), luminal B (LumB), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-enriched (HER2-E), basal-like (BL) intrinsic subtypes and a normal-like group. This classification has an established prognostic value in early-stage HoR+ BC. Here, we carried out a trial-level meta-analysis to determine the prognostic ability of subtypes in metastatic BC (MBC).Materials and methodsWe systematically reviewed all the available prospective phase II/III trials in HoR+ MBC where subtype was assessed. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS)/time to progression (TTP) of the LumA subtype compared to non-LumA. Secondary endpoints were PFS/TTP of each individual subtype, according to treatment, menopausal and HER2 status and overall survival (OS). The random-effect model was applied, and heterogeneity assessed through Cochran’s Q and I2. Threshold for significance was set at P < 0.05. The study was registered in PROSPERO (ID: CRD42021255769).ResultsSeven studies were included (2536 patients). Non-LumA represented 55.2% and was associated with worse PFS/TTP than LumA [hazard ratio (HR) 1.77, P < 0.001, I2 = 61%], independently of clinical HER2 status [Psubgroup difference (Psub) = 0.16], systemic treatment (Psub = 0.96) and menopausal status (Psub = 0.12). Non-LumA tumors also showed worse OS (HR 2.00, P < 0.001, I2 = 65%), with significantly different outcomes for LumB (PFS/TTP HR 1.46; OS HR 1.41), HER2-E (PFS/TTP HR 2.39; OS HR 2.08) and BL (PFS/TTP HR 2.67; OS HR 3.26), separately (PFS/TTP Psub = 0.01; OS Psub = 0.005). Sensitivity analyses supported the main result. No publication bias was observed.ConclusionsIn HoR+ MBC, non-LumA disease is associated with poorer PFS/TTP and OS than LumA, independently of HER2, treatment and menopausal status. Future trials in HoR+ MBC should consider this clinically relevant biological classification. In hormone receptor-positive (HoR+) breast cancer (BC), gene expression analysis identifies luminal A (LumA), luminal B (LumB), human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-enriched (HER2-E), basal-like (BL) intrinsic subtypes and a normal-like group. This classification has an established prognostic value in early-stage HoR+ BC. Here, we carried out a trial-level meta-analysis to determine the prognostic ability of subtypes in metastatic BC (MBC). We systematically reviewed all the available prospective phase II/III trials in HoR+ MBC where subtype was assessed. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS)/time to progression (TTP) of the LumA subtype compared to non-LumA. Secondary endpoints were PFS/TTP of each individual subtype, according to treatment, menopausal and HER2 status and overall survival (OS). The random-effect model was applied, and heterogeneity assessed through Cochran’s Q and I2. Threshold for significance was set at P < 0.05. The study was registered in PROSPERO (ID: CRD42021255769). Seven studies were included (2536 patients). Non-LumA represented 55.2% and was associated with worse PFS/TTP than LumA [hazard ratio (HR) 1.77, P < 0.001, I2 = 61%], independently of clinical HER2 status [Psubgroup difference (Psub) = 0.16], systemic treatment (Psub = 0.96) and menopausal status (Psub = 0.12). Non-LumA tumors also showed worse OS (HR 2.00, P < 0.001, I2 = 65%), with significantly different outcomes for LumB (PFS/TTP HR 1.46; OS HR 1.41), HER2-E (PFS/TTP HR 2.39; OS HR 2.08) and BL (PFS/TTP HR 2.67; OS HR 3.26), separately (PFS/TTP Psub = 0.01; OS Psub = 0.005). Sensitivity analyses supported the main result. No publication bias was observed. In HoR+ MBC, non-LumA disease is associated with poorer PFS/TTP and OS than LumA, independently of HER2, treatment and menopausal status. Future trials in HoR+ MBC should consider this clinically relevant biological classification.