Performance of 3 frailty scales for predicting adverse outcomes at 30 days in older patients discharged from emergency departments
Cesáreo Fernández Alonso, Carmen Del Arco Galán, Raquel Torres Gárate, José Fernando Madrigal Valdés, Rodolfo Romero Pareja, Carlos Bibiano Guillén, Belén Rodríguez Miranda, Martín Sebastián Ruiz Grinspan, Sonia Gutiérrez Gabriel, Ana Del Rey Ubago, Manuel E. Fuentes Ferrer, Francisco Javier Martín‐Sánchez
Abstract
OBJECTIVES: To compare the ability of 3 frailty scales (the Clinical Frailty Scale [CFS], the Functional Index - eMergency [FIM], and the Identification of Seniors at Risk [ISAR] scale) to predict adverse outcomes at 30 days in older patients discharged from hospital emergency departments (EDs). MATERIAL AND METHODS: Secondary analysis of data from the FRAIL-Madrid registry of patients aged 75 years or older who were discharged from Madrid EDs over a period of 3 months in 2018 and 2019. Frailty was defined by a CFS score over 4, a FIM score over 2, or an ISAR score over 3. The outcome variables were revisits to an ED, hospitalization, functional decline, death, and a composite variable of finding any of the previously named variables within 30 days of discharge. RESULTS: A total of 619 patients were studied. The mean (SD) age was 84 (7) years, and 59.1% were women. The CFS identified as frail a total of 339 patients (54.8%), the FIM 386 (62.4%), and the ISAR 301 (48.6%). An adverse outcome occurred within 30 days in 226 patients (36.5%): 21.5% revisited, 12.6% were hospitalized, 18.4% experienced functional decline, and 3.6% died. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves were as follows: CFS, 0.66 (95% CI, 0.62-0.70; P = .022); FIM, 0.67 (95% CI, 0.62-0.71; P = .021), and ISAR, 0.64 (95% CI, 0.60-0.69; P = .023). Adjusted odds ratios (aOR) showed that frailty was an independent risk factor for presenting any of the named adverse outcomes: aOR for CFS >4, 3.18 (95% CI, 2.02-5.01), P .001; aOR for FIM > 2, 3.49 (95% CI, 2.15-5.66), P .001; and aOR for ISAR >3, 2.46 (95% CI, 1.60-3.79), P .001. CONCLUSION: All 3 scales studied - the CFS, the FIM and the ISAR - are useful for identifying frail older patients at high risk of developing an adverse outcome (death, functional decline, hospitalization, or revisiting the ED) within 30 days after discharge.