Weakly unsupervised conditional generative adversarial network for image-based prognostic prediction for COVID-19 patients based on chest CT
Tomoki Uemura, Janne J. Näppi, Chinatsu Watari, Toru Hironaka, Tohru Kamiya, Hiroyuki Yoshida
Abstract
Because of the rapid spread and wide range of the clinical manifestations of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), fast and accurate estimation of the disease progression and mortality is vital for the management of the patients. Currently available image-based prognostic predictors for patients with COVID-19 are largely limited to semi-automated schemes with manually designed features and supervised learning, and the survival analysis is largely limited to logistic regression. We developed a weakly unsupervised conditional generative adversarial network, called pix2surv, which can be trained to estimate the time-to-event information for survival analysis directly from the chest computed tomography (CT) images of a patient. We show that the performance of pix2surv based on CT images significantly outperforms those of existing laboratory tests and image-based visual and quantitative predictors in estimating the disease progression and mortality of COVID-19 patients. Thus, pix2surv is a promising approach for performing image-based prognostic predictions.