Anthropogenic Influence on the 2018 Summer Warm Spell in Europe: The Impact of Different Spatio-Temporal Scales
Nicholas Leach, Sihan Li, Sarah Sparrow, Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Fraser C. Lott, Antje Weisheimer, Myles Allen
Abstract
We demonstrate that, in attribution studies, events defined over longer time scales generally produce higher probability ratios due to lower interannual variability, reconciling seemingly inconsistent attribution results of Europe’s 2018 summer heatwaves in reported studies.
Topics & Concepts
SpellReuseEnvironmental scienceMeteorologyClimatologyComputer scienceGeographyGeologyEngineeringSociologyAnthropologyWaste managementClimate variability and modelsUrban Heat Island MitigationMeteorological Phenomena and Simulations