Establishing minimally important differences for cardiac MRI end-points in pulmonary arterial hypertension
Samer Alabed, Pankaj Garg, Faisal Alandejani, Krit Dwivedi, Ahmed Maiter, Kavita Karunasaagarar, Smitha Rajaram, Catherine Hill, Steven Thomas, Rebecca Gossling, Michael Sharkey, Mahan Salehi, Jim M. Wild, Lisa Watson, Abdul Hameed, Athanasios Charalampopoulos, Haiping Lu, Alexander Rothman, A. A. Roger Thompson, Charlie Elliot, Neil Hamilton, Christopher S. Johns, Iain Armstrong, Robin Condliffe, Rob J. van der Geest, Andrew J. Swift, David G. Kiely
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) is the gold standard technique to assess biventricular volumes and function, and is increasingly being considered as an end-point in clinical studies. Currently, with the exception of right ventricular (RV) stroke volume and RV end-diastolic volume, there is only limited data on minimally important differences (MIDs) reported for CMR metrics. Our study aimed to identify MIDs for CMR metrics based on US Food and Drug Administration recommendations for a clinical outcome measure that should reflect how a patient "feels, functions or survives". METHODS: Consecutive treatment-naïve patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) between 2010 and 2022 who had two CMR scans (at baseline prior to treatment and 12 months following treatment) were identified from the ASPIRE registry. All patients were followed up for 1 additional year after the second scan. For both scans, cardiac measurements were obtained from a validated fully automated segmentation tool. The MID in CMR metrics was determined using two distribution-based (0.5sd and minimal detectable change) and two anchor-based (change difference and generalised linear model regression) methods benchmarked to how a patient "feels" (emPHasis-10 quality of life questionnaire), "functions" (incremental shuttle walk test) or "survives" for 1-year mortality to changes in CMR measurements. RESULTS: 254 patients with PAH were included (mean±sd age 53±16 years, 79% female and 66% categorised as intermediate risk based on the 2022 European Society of Cardiology/European Respiratory Society risk score). We identified a 5% absolute increase in RV ejection fraction and a 17 mL decrease in RV end-diastolic or end-systolic volumes as the MIDs for improvement. Conversely, a 5% decrease in RV ejection fraction and a 10 mL increase in RV volumes were associated with worsening. CONCLUSIONS: This study establishes clinically relevant CMR MIDs for how a patient "feels, functions or survives" in response to PAH treatment. These findings provide further support for the use of CMR as a clinically relevant clinical outcome measure and will aid trial size calculations for studies using CMR.