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An optimal control strategy and Grünwald-Letnikov finite-difference numerical scheme for the fractional-order COVID-19 model

Ihtisham Ul Haq, Nigar Ali, Kottakkaran Sooppy Nisar

2022Mathematical Modelling and Numerical Simulation with Applications15 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

In this article, a mathematical model of the COVID-19 pandemic with control parameters is introduced. The main objective of this study is to determine the most effective model for predicting the transmission dynamic of COVID-19 using a deterministic model with control variables. For this purpose, we introduce three control variables to reduce the number of infected and asymptomatic or undiagnosed populations in the considered model. Existence and necessary optimal conditions are also established. The Grünwald-Letnikov non-standard weighted average finite difference method (GL-NWAFDM) is developed for solving the proposed optimal control system. Further, we prove the stability of the considered numerical method. Graphical representations and analysis are presented to verify the theoretical results.

Topics & Concepts

MathematicsStability (learning theory)Scheme (mathematics)Applied mathematicsCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Epidemic modelTransmission (telecommunications)Optimal controlControl (management)Mathematical optimizationComputer scienceMathematical analysisMedicinePopulationArtificial intelligenceTelecommunicationsDiseaseMachine learningPathologyInfectious disease (medical specialty)Environmental healthFractional Differential Equations SolutionsMathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology ModelsNonlinear Differential Equations Analysis
An optimal control strategy and Grünwald-Letnikov finite-difference numerical scheme for the fractional-order COVID-19 model | Litcius