Efficient Dynamic Latent Variable Analysis for High-Dimensional Time Series Data
Yining Dong, Yingxiang Liu, S. Joe Qin
Abstract
Dynamic-inner canonical correlation analysis (DiCCA) extracts dynamic latent variables from high-dimensional time series data with a descending order of predictability in terms of R <sup xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">2</sup> . The reduced dimensional latent variables with rank-ordered predictability capture the dynamic features in the data, leading to easy interpretation and visualization. In this article, numerically efficient algorithms for DiCCA are developed to extract dynamic latent components from high-dimensional time series data. The numerically improved DiCCA algorithms avoid repeatedly inverting a covariance matrix inside the iteration loop of the numerical DiCCA algorithms. A further improvement using singular value decomposition converts the generalized eigenvector problem into a standard eigenvector problem for the DiCCA solution. Another improvement in model efficiency in this article is the dynamic model compaction of the extracted latent scores using autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models. Integrating factors, if existed in the latent variable scores, are made explicit in the ARIMA models. Numerical tests on two industrial datasets are provided to illustrate the improvements.