The Amplifying Effect of Conflicts on Case Fatality Rate of COVID-19: Evidence From 120 Countries
Yonghui Zhai, Dayang Jiang, Giray Gözgör, Eunho Cho
Abstract
Using the COVID-19 database of Johns Hopkins University, this study examines the determinants of the case fatality rate of COVID-19. We consider various potential determinants of the mortality risk of COVID-19 in 120 countries. The Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and the Kernel-based Regularized Least Squares (KRLS) estimations show that internal and external conflicts are positively related to the case fatality rates. This evidence is robust to the exclusion of countries across different regions. Thus, the evidence indicates that conflict may explain significant differences in the case fatality rate of COVID-19 across countries.
Topics & Concepts
Case fatality rateCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Ordinary least squaresEconometrics2019-20 coronavirus outbreakMortality rateSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)StatisticsEmpirical evidenceLogistic regressionDemographyMedicineEnvironmental healthEconomicsMathematicsVirologyDiseaseInternal medicineSociologyInfectious disease (medical specialty)PhilosophyEpistemologyOutbreakPopulationCOVID-19 epidemiological studiesCOVID-19 Pandemic ImpactsCOVID-19 Clinical Research Studies