Litcius/Paper detail

Has the unpredictability of geological disasters been increased by global warming?

Huiran Gao, Chong Xu, Shun Wu, Tao Li, Yuandong Huang

2025npj natural hazards.8 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

In mountainous regions, heavy rainfall is often accompanied by widespread geological hazards. Increasingly frequent extreme rainfall has undoubtedly exacerbated the global risk of rainfall-induced geological disasters. In recent years, fatalities from rainfall-triggered geological disasters have shown a consistent and rapid upward trend globally. Extreme and catastrophic geological disasters in 2024 have been particularly frequent and severe. This raises concerns about whether the unpredictability of geological disasters is increasing.

Topics & Concepts

Global warmingEarth scienceEnvironmental scienceNatural resource economicsClimate changeGeologyOceanographyEconomicsLandslides and related hazardsFlood Risk Assessment and Managementearthquake and tectonic studies