Non-linear relationship between albumin-corrected calcium and 30-day in-hospital mortality in ICU patients: A multicenter retrospective cohort study
Xun Qin, Ji Cen, Haofei Hu, Xinglin Chen, Zhe Wei, Qijun Wan, Rong Cao
Abstract
Objective: Albumin-corrected calcium is usually calculated to reflect the real serum calcium level of the whole body by physicians. However, studies on the association between albumin-corrected calcium and 30-day in-hospital mortality in Intensive Care Unit (ICU) patients are rare. The purpose of our study was to explore the association between baseline albumin-corrected calcium and 30-day in-hospital mortality in the American ICU population. Methods: A multicenter retrospective cohort study of 102,245 ICU patients in the eICU-CRD v2.0 from the USA during 2014-2015 was performed. The average age was 63.7 ± 16.9 years, of which 55,313 (53.7%) were men and 47,758 (46.3%) were women. The association between albumin-corrected calcium and 30-day in-hospital mortality was analyzed by Cox proportional-hazards regression, smooth curve fitting, piecewise linear regression, subgroup analyses, and a series of sensitivity analyses. Results: We found that among ICU patients with calcium abnormalities, more than 95% were mild hypocalcemia or mild hypercalcemia. The risk of 30-day in-hospital mortality will increase by 10% in the ≥7.5-< 8.5 mg/dl subgroup (OR=1.1, 95% CI 1.0-1.3) or 20% in the ≥10.3-<12 mg/dl subgroup (OR=1.2, 95% CI 1.1-1.3) when the albumin-corrected calcium level increases by 1 mg/dl. Additionally, the relationship between albumin-corrected calcium and 30-day in-hospital mortality was U shaped; the inflection point was 8.9 mg/dl (log likelihood ratio test P = 0.005). Finally, after a series of sensitivity analyses, we found that the relationship between albumin-corrected calcium and 30-day in-hospital mortality remained significant. Conclusion: In a large nationally representative cohort of ICU patients, abnormalities in albumin-corrected calcium, particularly slight hypocalcemia or slight hypercalcemia, were associated with an increased 30-day in-hospital mortality risk, and yet the findings in this study need to be further confirmed by prospective studies.