Long-term prognostic value of longitudinal measurements of blood neurofilament levels
Dieter A. Häring, Harald Kropshofer, Ludwig Kappos, Jeffrey A. Cohen, Anuja Shah, Rolf Meinert, David Leppert, Davorka Tomic, Jens Kühle
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: ) over 12 and 24 months vs single neurofilament light chain (NfL) measurements in patients with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) and its additional value when combined with clinical and MRI measures. METHODS: calculated over 12 and 24 months to predict disability-related outcomes and brain volume loss (BVL). The additional prognostic value of NfL was quantified using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULTS: was measured over 24 months, high NfL was associated with a higher risk of reaching EDSS score ≥4 (HR = 7.91; 95% CI = 2.99-20.92), accelerated 6-month confirmed disability worsening (HR = 3.14; 95% CI = 1.38-7.11), and 20% worsening in the Timed 25-Foot Walk Test (HR = 3.05; 95% CI = 1.38-6.70). Area under the ROC curve was consistently highest in models combining NfL with clinical and MRI measures. CONCLUSIONS: had a higher prognostic value than single NfL assessments on long-term outcomes in RRMS. Combining it with clinical and MRI measures increased sensitivity and specificity to predict long-term disease outcomes. CLASSIFICATION OF EVIDENCE: was more strongly associated with long-term outcomes than single NfL assessments in patients with RRMS.