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Fast Climate Responses to Aerosol Emission Reductions During the COVID‐19 Pandemic

Yang Yang, Lili Ren, Huimin Li, Hailong Wang, Pinya Wang, Lei Chen, Xu Yue, Hong Liao

2020Geophysical Research Letters106 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

Abstract The reduced human activities and associated decreases in aerosol emissions during the COVID‐19 pandemic are expected to affect climate. Assuming emission changes during lockdown, back‐to‐work and post‐lockdown stages of COVID‐19, climate model simulations show a surface warming over continental regions of the Northern Hemisphere. In January–March, there was an anomalous warming of 0.05–0.15 K in eastern China, and the surface temperature increase was 0.04–0.07 K in Europe, eastern United States, and South Asia in March–May. The longer the emission reductions undergo, the warmer the climate would become. The emission reductions explain the observed temperature increases of 10–40% over eastern China relative to 2019. A southward shift of the ITCZ is also seen in the simulations. This study provides an insight into the impact of COVID‐19 pandemic on global and regional climate and implications for immediate actions to mitigate fast global warming.

Topics & Concepts

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Intertropical Convergence ZonePandemicNorthern HemisphereClimatologyEnvironmental scienceAerosolClimate changeGlobal warmingClimate modelAtmospheric sciencesSouthern HemisphereSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)ChinaGeographyPrecipitationMeteorologyOceanographyGeologyArchaeologyInfectious disease (medical specialty)MedicinePathologyDiseaseCOVID-19 impact on air qualityAtmospheric aerosols and cloudsAir Quality and Health Impacts