Global nitrous oxide emissions from livestock manure during 1890–2020: An <scp>IPCC</scp> tier 2 inventory
Lei Zhang, Shufen Pan, Zhiyun Ouyang, Josep G. Canadell, Jinfeng Chang, Giulia Conchedda, Eric A. Davidson, Fei Lu, Naiqing Pan, Xiaoyu Qin, Hao Shi, Francesco N. Tubiello, Xiaoke Wang, Yuzhong Zhang, Hanqin Tian
Abstract
Abstract Nitrous oxide (N 2 O) emissions from livestock manure contribute significantly to the growth of atmospheric N 2 O, a powerful greenhouse gas and dominant ozone‐depleting substance. Here, we estimate global N 2 O emissions from livestock manure during 1890–2020 using the tier 2 approach of the 2019 Refinement to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. Global N 2 O emissions from livestock manure increased by ~350% from 451 [368–556] Gg N year −1 in 1890 to 2042 [1677–2514] Gg N year −1 in 2020. These emissions contributed ~30% to the global anthropogenic N 2 O emissions in the decade 2010–2019. Cattle contributed the most (60%) to the increase, followed by poultry (19%), pigs (15%), and sheep and goats (6%). Regionally, South Asia, Africa, and Latin America dominated the growth in global emissions since the 1990s. Nationally, the largest emissions were found in India (329 Gg N year −1 ), followed by China (267 Gg N year −1 ), the United States (163 Gg N year −1 ), Brazil (129 Gg N year −1 ) and Pakistan (102 Gg N year −1 ) in the 2010s. We found a substantial impact of livestock productivity, specifically animal body weight and milk yield, on the emission trends. Furthermore, a large spread existed among different methodologies in estimates of global N 2 O emission from livestock manure, with our results 20%–25% lower than those based on the 2006 IPCC Guidelines. This study highlights the need for robust time‐variant model parameterization and continuous improvement of emissions factors to enhance the precision of emission inventories. Additionally, urgent mitigation is required, as all available inventories indicate a rapid increase in global N 2 O emissions from livestock manure in recent decades.