Risk for Transportation of Coronavirus Disease from Wuhan to Other Cities in China
Zhanwei Du, Lin Wang, Simon Cauchemez, Xiao-Ke Xu, Xianwen Wang, Benjamin J. Cowling, Lauren Ancel Meyers
Abstract
On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas.
Topics & Concepts
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)ChinaQuarantineMetropolitan areaCoronavirus2019-20 coronavirus outbreakSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)GeographyPandemicEnvironmental healthDiseaseVirologySocioeconomicsMedicineOutbreakInfectious disease (medical specialty)Internal medicineEconomicsPathologyArchaeologyCOVID-19 epidemiological studiesCOVID-19 Pandemic ImpactsCOVID-19 and Mental Health