Association of estimated glomerular filtration rate and incident pre-diabetes: A secondary 5-year longitudinal cohort study in Chinese people
Xiaoyu Wang, Cheng Huang, Yufei Liu, Yong Han, Haofei Hu
Abstract
Objective There is still limited evidence regarding the relationship between the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and pre-diabetes. For that reason, our research aims to survey the association of eGFR with pre-diabetes. Methods This study was a retrospective cohort study, which consecutively and non-selectively collected a total of 173301 participants from Rich Healthcare Group in China from January 2010 to 2016. We then used the Cox proportional-hazards regression model to explore the relationship between baseline eGFR and pre-diabetes risk. Using a Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline function and smooth curve fitting (cubical spline smoothing), we were able to determine the non-linear relationship between eGFR and pre-diabetes. Additionally, we also conducted a series of sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses. The DATADRYAD website was updated with data. Results The mean age of the included individuals was 40.95 ± 11.94 years old, and 92318 (53.27%) were male. The mean baseline eGFR was 111.40 ± 14.77 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 . During a median follow-up time of 3.0 years, 18333 (10.58%) people experienced pre-diabetes. As a result of adjusting for covariates, eGFR had a negative association with incident pre-diabetes (HR=0.993, 95%CI: 0.992-0.995). There was also a U-shaped curve relationship between eGFR and pre-diabetes, and the inflection point of eGFR was 129.793 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 . HRs on the left and right sides of the inflection point were respectively 0.993 (0.991-0.994) and 1.023 (1.010- 1.037). Our results were robust in the sensitivity analysis. Subgroup analyses indicated that eGFR was strongly associated with the risk of pre-diabetes among participants who were younger than 30 years and 40-70 years, as well as among those who had never smoked. In contrast, the association of eGFR with the risk of pre-diabetes was attenuated among participants who were 30-40 years of age and 70 years of age or older, and among those who currently smoked. Conclusion This study demonstrates a negative and U-shaped curve association between eGFR and the risk of pre-diabetes among the general Chinese population. Either reduced renal function or glomerular hyperperfusion status may be associated with an increased risk of prediabetes.