Litcius/Paper detail

Halving of the uncertainty in projected warming over the past decade

Nathan P. Gillett

2024npj Climate and Atmospheric Science12 citationsDOIOpen Access PDF

Abstract

Uncertainties in projected 21st century warming were very large a decade ago, increasing the costs of climate change adaptation, especially those associated with long-lived infrastructure. Here we show that through progress in climate policy and climate science, these uncertainties have decreased dramatically over the past decade.

Topics & Concepts

Environmental scienceClimatologyMeteorologyGeographyGeologyAtmospheric and Environmental Gas DynamicsClimate variability and modelsClimate Change Policy and Economics
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