Improving Cleaning of Solar Systems through Machine Learning Algorithms
Bahar Asgarova, Elvin Jafarov, Nicat Babayev, Vugar Abdullayev, Khushwant Singh
Abstract
The study focuses on the importance of maintaining photovoltaic (PV) systems for optimal performance in sustainable energy generation. It highlights the impact of dust accumulation on reducing system efficiency and proposes a method to predict system performance, aiding in scheduling cleaning activities effectively. Two prediction models are developed: one using time-series prediction techniques (LSTM, ARIMA, SARIMAX) to forecast Performance Ratio (PR), and another employing ensemble voting classifiers (RF, Log, GBM) to predict the need for cleaning. The SARIMAX model performs best, achieving high accuracy in PR prediction (R2 = 92.12%), while the classification model accurately predicts cleaning needs (91%). The research provides valuable insights for improving maintenance strategies and enhancing the efficiency and sustainability of PV systems.