Reverend Bayes on Inference Engines: A Distributed Hierarchical Approach
Judea Pearl
Abstract
This paper presents generalizations of Bayes likelihood-ratio updating rule which facilitate an asynchronous propagation of the impacts of new beliefs and/or new evidence in hierarchically organized inference structures with multi-hypotheses variables. The computational scheme proposed specifies a set of belief parameters, communication messages and updating rules which guarantee that the diffusion of updated beliefs is accomplished in a single pass and complies with the tenets of Bayes calculus.
Topics & Concepts
CitationInferenceComputer scienceBayes' theoremBayesian inferenceInformation retrievalWorld Wide WebBayesian probabilityArtificial intelligenceBayesian Modeling and Causal InferenceData Visualization and AnalyticsData Quality and Management