Covid-19 fatality is likely overestimated
Joshua D. Niforatos, Edward R. Melnick, Jeremy Samuel Faust
Abstract
The final case fatality rate (CFR) from SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes covid-19, will likely be lower than those initially reported.1 Previous reviews of H1N1 and SARS show the systematic inflation of early mortality estimates.23 Early estimates of H1N1’s mortality were susceptible to uncertainty about asymptomatic and subclinical infections, heterogeneity in approaches to diagnostic testing, and biases in confounding, selection, detection, reporting, …
Topics & Concepts
Case fatality rateCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)AsymptomaticConfoundingMedicineSubclinical infectionSevere acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)2019-20 coronavirus outbreakSelection (genetic algorithm)DemographyVirologyEpidemiologyInternal medicineOutbreakComputer scienceArtificial intelligenceDiseaseInfectious disease (medical specialty)SociologyCOVID-19 epidemiological studiesClimate Change and Health ImpactsCOVID-19 and healthcare impacts