Assess transmissibility of different influenza subtypes: Based on a SEIABR model
Haoyun Dai, Nan Zhou, Mengxiang Chen, Guoqun Li, Xing Yu, Yi Su, Shanghui Yi, Xiuqin Hong, Meifang Quan, Wenting Zha, Yuan Lv
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: Influenza is a worldwide public health problem which causes a serious economic and health burden. In order to provide a scientific basis for improving the prevention and control level of influenza, using dynamic model to evaluate the infection rates of influenza different subtypes from 2010 to 2019 in China. METHODS: by combined the natural birth rate, natural death rate, infectious rate, proportion of asymptomatic patients, proportion of untreated patients, recovery rate and fatality rate. RESULTS: were 1.67, 1.52, 1.44, 1.56. CONCLUSION: Between each year, flu transmission capacity had fluctuation. Influenza A was more transmissible than influenza B, and during the major subtypes, influenza A/H1N1 was the most transmissible.