Development of prognostic index based on autophagy-related genes analysis in breast cancer
Qing-Guang Lin, Wei Liu, Yu-zhen Mo, Jing Han, Zhi-Xing Guo, Wei Zheng, Jianwei Wang, Xuebin Zou, An-Hua Li, Feng Han
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Autophagy is a self-digesting process that can satisfy the metabolic needs of cells, and is closely related to development of cancer. However, the effect of autophagy-related genes (ARGs) on the prognosis of breast cancer remains unclear. RESULTS: We first found that 27 ARGs were significantly associated with overall survival in breast cancer. The prognosis-related ARGs signature established using the Cox regression model consists of 12 ARGs that can be divided patients into high-risk and low-risk groups. The overall survival of patients with high-risk scores (HR 3.652, 2.410-5.533; P < 0.001) was shorter than patients with low-risk scores. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year survival rates were 0.739, 0.727, and 0.742, respectively. CONCLUSION: The12-ARGs marker can predict the prognosis of breast cancer and thus help individualized treatment of patients at different risks. METHODS: Based on the TCGA dataset, we integrated the expression profiles of ARGs in 1,039 breast cancer patients. Differentially expressed ARGs and survival-related ARGs were evaluated by computational difference algorithm and COX regression analysis. In addition, we also explored the mutations in these ARGs. A new prognostic indicator based on ARGs was developed using multivariate COX analysis.